Aspectos da produção e mercado de madeira e celulose no Brasil e na Região Norte.

Abstract

The objective of this work was to evaluate the behavior of the wood and pulp market in Brazil and in the Northern Region. The proposed analysis model includes the relevant variables that determine wood and pulp supply and demand, as well as the expectations about price formation. Results show that both supply and demand for pulp are inelastic at price. This means that both the producer and the consumer make adjustments in the quantities offered and demanded to a lesser extent than price changes. Another relevant fact is that the demand for pulp in the North Region is perfectly inelastic to income, indicating that consumption does not react to changes in consumer income. The conclusion drawn from the results is that the sector is very vulnerable to changes in tax and exchange policy that directly affect the circulation of the product to domestic and international markets.